The 2000 Bug: A Time Bomb for Chaos?
Speculating on the events of the morning of Jan. 1, 2000, is everyone's business. It's that serious. The passing of just one day on the calendar has the potential to wreak chaos on the world.
Will communications and transportation fall into near-total disarray with nations economies hitting the floorboard, or will the first day of the year 2000 be only a temporary blip on the activities of mankind—annoying and uncomfortable but manageable?
Edward Yardeni, chief economist for the international investment firm of Deutsche Morgan Grenfel, predicts a 70 percent chance of a serious global recession. Said Mr. Yardeni: "If we have everything fixed in the United States [highly unlikely], but major disruptions in Europe and total calamity in Asia and Latin America, weÕre going to be affected in a very, very adverse fashion" (Washington Times).
One big problem is public education. People simply do not grasp the magnitude of our dependence on computers for nearly every aspect of our lives. We even forget that our offensive and defensive nuclear-weapons systems are controlled by complex computer software. One major concern is that Russians are not anywhere near close to solving the millennium-bug problem resident in their military technology.
The Gartner Group in the United States is one of the leading Y2K research firms in the world. It recently surveyed 15,000 companies in 81 countries and found, according to a recent communiqué:
• Segments of companies and governments throughout the world will not be prepared to deal with the Y2K problem by 2000.
• In the United States, industry segments such as health care, education, agriculture, construction, food processing, governments and companies of fewer than 500 employees are lagging behind in compliance efforts. Many will simply not adequately safeguard their critical systems by 2000.
• Countries already plagued with financial woes, sharp increases in inflation, limited monetary reserves and high unemployment are some of the same countries farthest behind with year-2000 compliance.
• The biggest risk to the United States and American citizens is the impact from companies and governments outside the United States.
America is the wealthiest country and theoretically has the resources and know-how to best deal with 2000. Yet the Gartner Group points out several serious risks to American well-being:
• Too many people may lose confidence in the banking sector.
• Interruptions could occur in the food or medical-supply chain.
• Local, city and town governments may not be able to provide critical services.
The above risks are serious. Clearly, without banking, society may come to a virtual halt, and the interruption of food supplies would have horrific consequences.
What will really happen in 2000—and how seriously will we be affected? No one knows for sure. We should, however, stay aware of the problem and current developments, seek the best professional opinion and act accordingly. But one thing is for certain. Y2K clearly fits into the sobering prophetic framework that The Good News has reported since its inception.
Biblical prophecies—many of them truly frightening—are not a matter of if, but when. But the time factor is variable. God will work out national and global events in a way to best fulfill His plan and purpose.
Course Content
John Ross Schroeder
John died on March 8, 2014, in Oxford, England, four days after suffering cardiac arrest while returning home from a press event in London. John was 77 and still going strong.
Some of John's work for The Good News appeared under his byline, but much didn't. He wrote more than a thousand articles over the years, but also wrote the Questions and Answers section of the magazine, compiled our Letters From Our Readers, and wrote many of the items in the Current Events and Trends section. He also contributed greatly to a number of our study guides and Bible Study Course lessons. His writing has touched the lives of literally millions of people over the years.
John traveled widely over the years as an accredited journalist, especially in Europe. His knowledge of European and Middle East history added a great deal to his articles on history and Bible prophecy.
In his later years he also pastored congregations in Northern Ireland and East Sussex, and that experience added another dimension to his writing. He and his wife Jan were an effective team in our British Isles office near their home.
John was a humble servant who dedicated his life to sharing the gospel—the good news—of Jesus Christ and the Kingdom of God to all the world, and his work was known to readers in nearly every country of the world.
